tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Memphis via Charlotte: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:00 DCA → 06:26 CLT
    AA 365 · American · 1h 26m · 95% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 CLT → 10:00 MEM
    AA 2110 · American · 1h 50m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 00mDCA 05:00 to MEM 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.