tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:00 DCA → 06:26 CLT
    AA 365 · American · 1h 26m · 95% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:17 CLT → 08:19 ILM
    AA 2569 · American · 1h 02m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip3h 19mDCA 05:00 to ILM 08:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.