tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Austin via New York: arrives on time 52%

  1. 09:27 CLT → 11:29 JFK
    AA 374 · American · 2h 02m · 75% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:26 JFK → 15:37 AUS
    AA 1409 · American · 4h 11m · 76% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 10mCLT 09:27 to AUS 15:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.