tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Key West via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 09:15 PHL → 11:58 DFW
    AA 388 · American · 3h 43m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 DFW → 16:54 EYW
    AA 1814 · American · 2h 52m · 60% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 39mPHL 09:15 to EYW 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.