tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Pensacola via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 09:15 PHL → 11:58 DFW
    AA 388 · American · 3h 43m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:53 DFW → 14:43 PNS
    AA 2320 · American · 1h 50m · 51% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 28mPHL 09:15 to PNS 14:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.