tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:15 PHL → 11:58 DFW
    AA 388 · American · 3h 43m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:10 DFW → 16:49 MEM
    AA 3678 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 39m · 84% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 34mPHL 09:15 to MEM 16:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.