Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:00 LGA → 18:08 ORD
    AA 396 · American · 3h 08m · 64% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 ORD → 22:57 JAX
    AA 2096 · American · 2h 36m · 52% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 05mLGA 16:00 to JAX 22:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.