Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:00 LGA → 18:08 ORD
    AA 396 · American · 3h 08m · 64% on time, 4.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:08 ORD → 21:33 LAX
    AA 2364 · American · 4h 25m · 59% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip8h 33mLGA 16:00 to LAX 21:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.