Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 37%
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16:00 LGA → 18:08 ORDAA 396 · American · 3h 08m · 64% on time, 4.6% cancelled
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52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:00 ORD → 21:00 XNAAA 4105 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 70% on time, 1.3% cancelled
Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 00mLGA 16:00 to XNA 21:00, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.