Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 27%
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16:00 LGA → 18:08 ORDAA 396 · American · 3h 08m · 64% on time, 4.6% cancelled
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48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:56 ORD → 21:34 DTWAA 4931 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 57% on time, 6.9% cancelled
Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 33mLGA 16:00 to DTW 21:34, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.