Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Milwaukee via Chicago: arrives on time 31%
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16:00 LGA → 18:08 ORDAA 396 · American · 3h 08m · 64% on time, 4.6% cancelled
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50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:58 ORD → 19:59 MKEAA 4941 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 01m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled
Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (4.6% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 59mLGA 16:00 to MKE 19:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.