tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 13:21 SDF → 14:44 DFW
    AA 399 · American · 2h 23m · 69% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:39 DFW → 19:40 MIA
    AA 3083 · American · 3h 01m · 46% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 19mSDF 13:21 to MIA 19:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.