tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Valparaiso via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:23 MIA → 19:45 CLT
    AA 400 · American · 2h 22m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 CLT → 21:59 VPS
    AA 5190 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 54m · 56% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 36mMIA 17:23 to VPS 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.