tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:23 MIA → 19:45 CLT
    AA 400 · American · 2h 22m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 CLT → 21:58 TYS
    AA 5909 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 21m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 33mMIA 17:23 to TYS 21:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.