tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Key West via Miami: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:02 DCA → 08:50 MIA
    AA 401 · American · 2h 48m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:10 MIA → 13:14 EYW
    AA 3518 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 04m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 12mDCA 06:02 to EYW 13:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.