tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Jacksonville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:00 PHL → 17:50 DFW
    AA 402 · American · 3h 50m · 68% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:52 DFW → 22:24 JAX
    AA 2263 · American · 2h 32m · 49% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip7h 24mPHL 15:00 to JAX 22:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.