tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Detroit via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:00 PHL → 17:50 DFW
    AA 402 · American · 3h 50m · 68% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 DFW → 22:36 DTW
    AA 3108 · American · 2h 49m · 52% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 36mPHL 15:00 to DTW 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.