tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Asheville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 68%

  1. 15:00 PHL → 17:50 DFW
    AA 402 · American · 3h 50m · 68% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 DFW → 22:56 AVL
    AA 4260 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 26m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 56mPHL 15:00 to AVL 22:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.