tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dayton via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 53%

  1. 15:00 PHL → 17:50 DFW
    AA 402 · American · 3h 50m · 68% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:18 DFW → 23:50 DAY
    AA 5245 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 31m · 64% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 49mPHL 15:00 to DAY 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.