tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:02 AUS → 08:58 MIA
    AA 406 · American · 2h 56m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 MIA → 14:44 DCA
    AA 1606 · American · 2h 45m · 87% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 42mAUS 05:02 to DCA 14:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.