tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%

  1. 07:00 ANC → 16:42 DFW
    AA 407 · American · 6h 42m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:43 DFW → 22:30 JFK
    AA 1203 · American · 3h 51m · 46% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip11h 34mANC 07:00 to JFK 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.