tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Newark via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 48%

  1. 07:00 ANC → 16:42 DFW
    AA 407 · American · 6h 42m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 DFW → 22:59 EWR
    AA 2999 · American · 3h 40m · 55% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip11h 59mANC 07:00 to EWR 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.