tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Buffalo via Philadelphia: arrives on time 62%

  1. 07:30 DFW → 11:52 PHL
    AA 415 · American · 3h 22m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 PHL → 14:19 BUF
    AA 6041 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 29m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 49mDFW 07:30 to BUF 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.