tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Pensacola via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 12:52 PHL → 15:31 DFW
    AA 415 · American · 3h 39m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:24 DFW → 18:14 PNS
    AA 2314 · American · 1h 51m · 41% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pensacola is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip6h 23mPHL 12:52 to PNS 18:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.