tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 24%

  1. 12:52 PHL → 15:31 DFW
    AA 415 · American · 3h 39m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:17 DFW → 17:59 SFO
    AA 2810 · American · 3h 42m · 43% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip8h 07mPHL 12:52 to SFO 17:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.