tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dayton via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 12:52 PHL → 15:31 DFW
    AA 415 · American · 3h 39m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:16 DFW → 20:48 DAY
    AA 5609 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 56mPHL 12:52 to DAY 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.