tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 11:02 PHL → 13:38 DFW
    AA 417 · American · 3h 36m · 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 DFW → 18:24 MIA
    AA 1167 · American · 2h 59m · 46% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 22mPHL 11:02 to MIA 18:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.