tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Omaha via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 31%

  1. 11:02 PHL → 13:38 DFW
    AA 417 · American · 3h 36m · 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 DFW → 16:16 OMA
    AA 2229 · American · 1h 51m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip6h 14mPHL 11:02 to OMA 16:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.