tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Norfolk via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:11 DEN → 18:21 DFW
    AA 420 · American · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:34 DFW → 23:38 ORF
    AA 2587 · American · 3h 04m · 49% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 27mDEN 15:11 to ORF 23:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.