tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Dayton via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 51%

  1. 15:11 DEN → 18:21 DFW
    AA 420 · American · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:18 DFW → 23:50 DAY
    AA 5245 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 31m · 64% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 38mDEN 15:11 to DAY 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.