tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 06:01 CHA → 07:34 DFW
    AA 425 · American · 2h 33m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 DFW → 13:00 LGA
    AA 1056 · American · 3h 35m · 75% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 59mCHA 06:01 to LGA 13:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.