tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:01 CHA → 07:34 DFW
    AA 425 · American · 2h 33m · 72% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DFW → 11:10 ORD
    AA 1059 · American · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Chattanooga). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 09mCHA 06:01 to ORD 11:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.