tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Portland via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:05 PHL → 09:05 PHX
    AA 428 · American · 5h 00m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 PHX → 12:49 PDX
    AA 1625 · American · 2h 44m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 44mPHL 07:05 to PDX 12:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.