tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Oakland via Phoenix: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:16 AUS → 06:40 PHX
    AA 455 · American · 2h 24m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 PHX → 11:35 OAK
    WN 2680 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 19mAUS 06:16 to OAK 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.