tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:16 AUS → 06:40 PHX
    AA 455 · American · 2h 24m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:55 PHX → 11:15 SNA
    WN 3001 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 88% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 59mAUS 06:16 to SNA 11:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.