tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Wilmington via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:30 LGA → 08:14 ORD
    AA 462 · American · 2h 46m · 93% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 12:51 ILM
    AA 3613 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 21m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip6h 21mLGA 06:30 to ILM 12:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.