tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Antonio via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 15:45 PHL → 17:29 ORD
    AA 470 · American · 2h 44m · 64% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:08 ORD → 23:59 SAT
    AA 431 · American · 2h 51m · 47% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip9h 14mPHL 15:45 to SAT 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.