tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Ontario via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 50%

  1. 06:30 JFK → 09:29 DFW
    AA 475 · American · 3h 59m · 96% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:20 DFW → 13:23 ONT
    AA 2239 · American · 3h 03m · 58% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip9h 53mJFK 06:30 to ONT 13:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.