tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Valparaiso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:30 JFK → 09:29 DFW
    AA 475 · American · 3h 59m · 96% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 DFW → 14:43 VPS
    AA 2501 · American · 1h 57m · 66% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 13mJFK 06:30 to VPS 14:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.