tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:58 DTW → 09:54 DFW
    AA 482 · American · 2h 56m · 88% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DFW → 11:19 PHX
    AA 2990 · American · 2h 29m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 21mDTW 07:58 to PHX 11:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.