tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Norfolk via Miami: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:00 CLT → 20:21 MIA
    AA 488 · American · 2h 21m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:14 MIA → 23:37 ORF
    AA 775 · American · 2h 23m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 37mCLT 18:00 to ORF 23:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.