tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Richmond via Miami: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:00 CLT → 20:21 MIA
    AA 488 · American · 2h 21m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:09 MIA → 23:37 RIC
    AA 983 · American · 2h 28m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 37mCLT 18:00 to RIC 23:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.