tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Tampa via Washington: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:19 MIA → 09:00 DCA
    AA 491 · American · 2h 41m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DCA → 12:40 TPA
    AA 2852 · American · 2h 25m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 21mMIA 06:19 to TPA 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.