tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:19 MIA → 09:00 DCA
    AA 491 · American · 2h 41m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 DCA → 13:00 MDW
    WN 1445 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 41mMIA 06:19 to MDW 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.