tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Antonio → New Orleans via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 15%

  1. 20:23 SAT → 21:44 DFW
    AA 499 · American · 1h 21m · 54% on time, 11.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DFW → 23:58 MSY
    AA 1472 · American · 1h 28m · 46% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip3h 35mSAT 20:23 to MSY 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.