tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:45 MIA → 09:48 ATL
    AA 512 · American · 2h 03m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:45 ATL → 14:17 MSY
    DL 3157 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 35mMIA 07:45 to MSY 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.