tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 32%

  1. 08:55 DFW → 09:29 PHX
    AA 520 · American · 2h 34m · 76% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 PHX → 11:43 SNA
    AA 2655 · American · 1h 28m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 48mDFW 08:55 to SNA 11:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.