tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Los Angeles: arrives on time 67%

  1. 15:21 ORD → 17:43 LAX
    AA 529 · American · 4h 22m · 59% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 LAX → 23:09 ELP
    AA 4905 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 04m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 48mORD 15:21 to ELP 23:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.