tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Omaha via Los Angeles: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:21 ORD → 17:43 LAX
    AA 529 · American · 4h 22m · 59% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 LAX → 23:57 OMA
    AA 6224 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 25m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 36mORD 15:21 to OMA 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.