tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → New Orleans via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 48%

  1. 07:04 STL → 09:06 DFW
    AA 537 · American · 1h 59m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:54 DFW → 11:26 MSY
    AA 2885 · American · 1h 30m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 20mSTL 07:04 to MSY 11:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.